India Meteorological Department
Latest, 28 Sept: Erratic monsoon raises supply risk for rice, wheat, sugar and cotton.
Latest moves
Our read of each move first, where we have one; what the report said is marked Reported.
Background
From 6 stories, the newest dated 28 Sept 2026. Summary written 11 Oct 2026.
The India Meteorological Department (IMD) publishes India's monsoon rainfall forecasts, which feed into assessments of food supply, grocery input prices and rural demand. [1] source: Financial Express[2] source: Financial Express[3] source: Financial Express
Show 2 more paragraphs and 6 sources
In May, IMD forecast a monsoon 10% below normal. [4] source: Business Today An earlier IMD deficit projection was 8%. [3] source: Financial Express On 31 August 2026, Financial Express reported that IMD forecast below-normal September rainfall, below 91% of the long-period average (LPA), as El Niño strengthens, with a June-September projection of 90% of LPA. [2] source: Financial Express The same report put the seasonal monsoon deficit after June-August at 13.8% and said 2026 could become the weakest monsoon since 2009. [2] source: Financial Express NDTV Profit reported on 29 August 2026 that all-India rainfall was 13% below normal as of Aug. 27, 2026, against an IMD forecast of 90% of LPA. [5] source: NDTV Profit In September 2026, ICRA noted that southwest monsoon rainfall was 85% of LPA as of September 14, 2026, against an IMD forecast of 90% +/- 4% of LPA. [1] source: Financial Express
Business Today reported on 28 September 2026 that monsoon rainfall was 12% below the long-term average. [6] source: Business Today
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In August 2026, the India Meteorological Department forecast below-normal September rainfall of below 91% of the long-period average as El Niño strengthens, and projected June-September rainfall at 90% of the long-period average. [2] source: Financial Express
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